Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000429 0.000478 0.000531 0.000595 0.000670 0.000755 0.000860
2024-12-22 0.000349 0.000413 0.000491 0.000593 0.000725 0.000893 0.001129
2024-12-29 0.000304 0.000376 0.000469 0.000599 0.000783 0.001040 0.001446
2025-01-05 0.000274 0.000351 0.000454 0.000609 0.000842 0.001198 0.001821
2025-01-12 0.000245 0.000322 0.000430 0.000598 0.000866 0.001304 0.002147
2025-01-19 0.000230 0.000310 0.000427 0.000616 0.000936 0.001500 0.002702
2025-01-26 0.000208 0.000285 0.000399 0.000591 0.000929 0.001557 0.003003
2025-02-02 0.000195 0.000272 0.000390 0.000595 0.000972 0.001718 0.003604
2025-02-09 0.000187 0.000266 0.000389 0.000611 0.001040 0.001948 0.004495
2025-02-16 0.000179 0.000259 0.000386 0.000623 0.001103 0.002186 0.005566
2025-02-23 0.000174 0.000255 0.000389 0.000646 0.001191 0.002511 0.007172
2025-03-02 0.000166 0.000247 0.000383 0.000652 0.001244 0.002768 0.008783
2025-03-09 0.000155 0.000233 0.000367 0.000636 0.001249 0.002909 0.010156
2025-03-16 0.000148 0.000225 0.000359 0.000637 0.001297 0.003205 0.012722
2025-03-23 0.000142 0.000218 0.000354 0.000645 0.001364 0.003596 0.016599
2025-03-30 0.000136 0.000213 0.000352 0.000655 0.001442 0.004071 0.022333
2025-04-06 0.000129 0.000203 0.000339 0.000643 0.001454 0.004316 0.027070
2025-04-13 0.000126 0.000201 0.000341 0.000663 0.001564 0.005026 0.039826
2025-04-20 0.000118 0.000189 0.000323 0.000636 0.001525 0.005065 0.044585
2025-04-27 0.000114 0.000185 0.000319 0.000640 0.001587 0.005632 0.062031
2025-05-04 0.000112 0.000183 0.000321 0.000658 0.001699 0.006554 0.099330
2025-05-11 0.000109 0.000180 0.000321 0.000672 0.001803 0.007550 0.164417
2025-05-18 0.000107 0.000179 0.000324 0.000697 0.001956 0.009059 0.335819